Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001743 0.001818 0.001896 0.001983 0.002078 0.002178 0.002294
2025-07-13 0.001576 0.001676 0.001785 0.001912 0.002056 0.002218 0.002415
2025-07-20 0.001491 0.001611 0.001744 0.001905 0.002096 0.002320 0.002608
2025-07-27 0.001436 0.001571 0.001726 0.001917 0.002154 0.002443 0.002835
2025-08-03 0.001378 0.001522 0.001690 0.001904 0.002175 0.002518 0.003006
2025-08-10 0.001344 0.001498 0.001681 0.001919 0.002230 0.002639 0.003249
2025-08-17 0.001302 0.001462 0.001654 0.001908 0.002249 0.002711 0.003431
2025-08-24 0.001260 0.001423 0.001621 0.001888 0.002252 0.002758 0.003579
2025-08-31 0.001249 0.001420 0.001633 0.001925 0.002334 0.002925 0.003940
2025-09-07 0.001226 0.001403 0.001624 0.001932 0.002375 0.003034 0.004223
2025-09-14 0.001194 0.001371 0.001595 0.001912 0.002373 0.003075 0.004391
2025-09-21 0.001161 0.001339 0.001564 0.001885 0.002359 0.003095 0.004521
2025-09-28 0.001136 0.001314 0.001543 0.001873 0.002368 0.003156 0.004750
2025-10-05 0.001092 0.001265 0.001487 0.001808 0.002292 0.003070 0.004661
2025-10-12 0.001072 0.001246 0.001472 0.001801 0.002307 0.003137 0.004915
2025-10-19 0.001059 0.001237 0.001469 0.001813 0.002350 0.003258 0.005320
2025-10-26 0.001039 0.001217 0.001451 0.001800 0.002353 0.003309 0.005570
2025-11-02 0.001029 0.001211 0.001451 0.001814 0.002399 0.003444 0.006081
2025-11-09 0.001012 0.001194 0.001436 0.001804 0.002407 0.003504 0.006409
2025-11-16 0.000993 0.001174 0.001415 0.001786 0.002397 0.003530 0.006649
2025-11-23 0.000992 0.001177 0.001428 0.001819 0.002479 0.003752 0.007613
2025-11-30 0.000982 0.001169 0.001425 0.001826 0.002515 0.003882 0.008355
2025-12-07 0.000965 0.001151 0.001406 0.001808 0.002503 0.003907 0.008700